Before a ball was kicked, our machine-learning model — Poisson (Dixon-Coles) + Elo, trained on 150 years of football and a million Monte Carlo simulations — had Spain in its top two, and named the exact four semi-finalists and both finalists. Here's how the first 48-team World Cup played out, and how every blind prediction held up.
The full picture at full time — every team, the complete bracket, the Golden Boot race and a head-to-head Match Lab.
Open the dashboard → 🔮 BLINDThe model's blind call from before a ball was kicked — trained with zero knowledge of any 2026 result.
Open the forecast →Data-driven model, just for fun. ⚽ Data: 150 years of international results (martj42/international_results).