MACHINE LEARNING PREDICTION

Who wins the World Cup 2026?

A machine-learning model — Poisson (Dixon-Coles) + Elo, trained on 150 years of international football and run through a million Monte Carlo simulations. Title odds, the full bracket, a head-to-head Match Lab, the Golden Boot race and every match. Just for fun. Pick a version:

LIVE

🔴 Live dashboard

The current picture — results already played are locked in, so the favourite shifts after every match. Rebuilt daily.

Open the live dashboard →
🔮 BLIND

🔮 Pre-tournament forecast

The model's blind call from before a ball was kicked — trained with zero knowledge of any 2026 result.

Open the forecast →
⚔️ Beat the Machine — make your picks & top the leaderboard → ⚖️ Or see the two side by side → 𝕏 Follow @WorldCupML2026 for daily predictions →
🆚 Match Lab🏆 Full bracket🏅 Model vs FIFA ✅ Predicted vs actual👟 Golden Boot🎲 Roll a tournament 📊 Odds over time

Data-driven model, just for fun. ⚽ Data: 150 years of international results (martj42/international_results).